Even in the Democratic-leaning environment of 2020, Trump won Ohio by 8 percentage points, implying that its true partisan lean is probably even more Republican-leaning. The FiveThirtyEight election model finds that in 70 out of 100 election simulations, Democrats emerge from 2022 in the majority. Now Republicans are confident that Biden's sagging approval ratings in the key states will create a comparable undertow on Democrats. The court's order did not affect the July 22, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee. Among Democrats, you have to go back to Kennedy to find a Democrat who actually gained Senate seats in his first midterm. -webkit-columns: 1; Ozs campaign points to Fettermans 10-minute speeches and refusal to take reporter or audience questions afterward in an attempt to cast doubt on Fettermans health. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r